SIOUX FALLS, S.D. (KELO.com) — A study from the University of Washington places South Dakota’s expected coronavirus surge at least a month earlier than what state officials have been saying.
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation predicts that South Dakota’s surge will happen on or about May 13th.
They say Nebraska could experience a surge in cases on that same date.
South Dakota health officials and Gov. Kristi Noem have said several times in briefings that they expect the statewide surge in mid to late June.
Mayor Paul TenHaken and health officials say Sioux Falls’ surge could come in mid to late May.
The IHME uses data as of April 28 for its latest modeling.
A health industry newsletter, “Becker’s Hospital Review,” says, however, that “Some have criticized IHME’s model, arguing its projections for total deaths should be used for government decision making.”
Still, the newsletter notes that the model “continues to be widely used and influential in planning and preparation because of a local of national models provided by the CDC or other federal agencies.
Here are the “surge dates” as predicted by the IHME model for regional states:
April 29–Montana
April 30–Minnesota
May 2–Iowa
May 4–Wyoming
May 13–South Dakota and Nebraska
May 15–North Dakota
Click here to read the story in “Becker’s Hospital Review.”
Click here to read about findings from IHME.
